Friday, September 16, 2005

A step ahead?

Here we were, thinking that Laws Watchers were an odd lot, unrepresentative of the mainstream in your overwhelming support for Labour, when the latest Herald Digi-Poll suddenly shows you were simply ahead of the rest of NZ, and that Helen and her comrades do indeed have a commanding lead.

This came not a moment too soon. We were about to contract NZ's foremost respected pollster to cross-correlate our results against historical trends, analyse each data point for accuracy, conduct a randomised telephone poll against which to check the outcome, and then invent some entirely fictitious and self-serving "result" to suit our plans. But we won't be needing Antoinette Beck after all.


  • 99 MP Party 0%
  • ACT New Zealand 0%
  • Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0%
  • Christian Heritage New Zealand 0%
  • Destiny New Zealand 1%
  • Direct Democracy Party 3%
  • Jim Anderton's Progressive 1%
  • Libertarianz 3%
  • Mâori Party 4%
  • New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0%
  • New Zealand First Party 3%
  • New Zealand Labour Party 47%
  • One New Zealand Party 0%
  • Outdoor Recreation NZ 0%
  • The Alliance 8%
  • The Greens, The Green Party of Aotearoa/New Zealand 22%
  • The New Zealand Democratic Party for Social Credit 0%
  • The New Zealand National Party 8%
  • The Republic of New Zealand Party 0%
  • United Future New Zealand 0%
(from 76 votes)

Meanwhile, the Diva predicts a possible loss to Jill Pettis, while Laws Watchers say otherwise:


  • Jill Pettis - Labour 53%
  • Chester Borrows - National 31%
  • Debbie Lucas - Progressive 2%
  • John Milnes - Greens 10%
  • Undecided 0%
  • Won't vote 2%
  • In Te Tai Hauauru 1%
(from 83 votes)


Only one sleep to go and we'll see who's right.

Comments on this post are now closed.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

I think you'll find, Laws Watch, that -Laws, Jill Pettis has garnered a lot of support in Wanganui.

Dear old Chester has been stupidly trotting around Laws' so-called town hall meetings till they started to look like local National campaign meetings and people quite understandably have become very cynical.

And I'm talking about the sort of territory the Diva likes to think he can buy with his ridiculous Dumbocracy referendums etc. These people are not stupid and the crazy thing is that both Chester and the Diva have been shafting each other by association.

Anonymous said...

I've seen Chester out and about. He looks like a cardboard cutout, ie wherever the Diva goes, Chester goes.

Sorry Chester, but that's the road to nowhere.

Anonymous said...

looks like Labour by a nose. Greens and UF seemingly incompatible, what's Winston gonna do?

Lab + Gr + MaoriP + Prog = 50 + 6 + 4 + 1 = 61
Nat + NZF + UFORec + ACT = 49 + 7 + 3 + 2 = 61

Labour don't need the Greens as formal coalition partners in order to govern; that means they can more easily attract NZF & UFORec. Both these said before the final count that they'd support the party with the most seats, but who knows what they'll really do.

Another minority Labour govt?

Or Rodney and Winston pulling National apart like wild horses while Peter watches?

Anonymous said...

Sorry Chester, but that's the road to nowhere.

Looks like the road to nowhere leads to a seat in Parliament.
Go Chester!!!

Anonymous said...

And Jill gets in on the list...

Anonymous said...

Well thats MMP for you.

Anonymous said...

Indeed it is: coalition partners have to forget their more extreme policies. Can't see bulk funding for schools in the next three years, for example. Nor more funding for non-existent degree courses, for that matter.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous said...
"I've seen Chester out and about. He looks like a cardboard cutout, ie wherever the Diva goes, Chester goes.
Sorry Chester, but that's the road to nowhere."

According to the individual booth results it didn't do Chester any good in the suburban Wanganui booths ... 19 to Pettis, four to Borrows.

Anonymous said...

So the mayor was right about the Whanganui seat, and LawsWatch was wrong.
And the poll was so ridiculously unrepresentative that we now the few habitues here are out of touch with "mainstream" Wanganui. Without the 'h'.
AND the mayor starred on both TV3 and TV1 - not a good weekend for Laws-haters.

Anonymous said...

"Anonymous said...
So the mayor was right about the Whanganui seat, and LawsWatch was wrong. "

Welcome back, Michael.

Of course the thing about any poll here on LawsWatch is that it is almost certainly more reflective of the views of city voters than the farmers of South Taranaki, and as a previous poster has pointed out, the city booths stayed true to Labour.

Anonymous said...

Is anybody else wondering how the Diva can say something like this about pumping money into a Ucol relocation with a straight face at the same time as his whinging about how broke the city is reaches crescendo?

Oh of course, thar's gold in them thar hills, well at least in the Queen's Park hill.

Here he is: "But I want to make it clear, that Council must do more than simply encourage. We have to actively and financially assist the process.”

Anonymous said...

Just read these last comments - you forget anon that Wanganui District includes 3,000 rural ward voters. Besides, that's not the point - Laws was right (as he was most of Sat night) about who would win & why. Pettis demise was predictable - she's hopeles.

Laws Watch said...

So the mayor was right about the Whanganui seat, and LawsWatch was wrong

Why, it must be that well known interpreter of polls Miss Antoinette Beck. We know it's confusing, what with forgetting your name when you sign them off and all, but Laws Watch said no such thing. We merely pointed out that the majority of people who answered the poll here voted for Pettis.

In fact, strictly speaking we were incorrect in saying "...the Diva predicts a possible loss to Jill Pettis, while Laws Watchers say otherwise" because the poll didn't ask "who do you think will win" but rather "who will you be voting for?".

So, in terms of prescient ability, it proves nought. Do try to keep things in perspective.