Monday, September 19, 2005

You're an atypical lot

Some reasonably significant differences between blog visitors and the bulk of Wanganui, at least in terms of your national political leanings. Here's the party votes of Wanganui (in blue) compared to our poll respondents' (in red) and the preliminary national results (in green):

  • 99 MP Party 0.06% 0% 0.03%
  • ACT New Zealand 0.91% 0% 1.52%
  • Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party 0.17% 0% 0.23%
  • Christian Heritage New Zealand 0.18% 0% 0.12%
  • Destiny New Zealand 0.82% 1% 0.61%
  • Direct Democracy Party 0.02% 3% 0.04%
  • Jim Anderton's Progressive 1.43% 1% 1.21%
  • Libertarianz 0.05% 3% 0.05%
  • Mâori Party 0.78% 4% 1.98%
  • New Zealand Family Rights Protection Party 0.03% 0% 0.05%
  • New Zealand First Party 6.55% 3% 5.84%
  • New Zealand Labour Party 39.85% 47% 40.74%
  • One New Zealand Party 0.16% 0% 0.02%
  • The Alliance 0.09% 8% 0.07%
  • The Greens 4.26% 22% 5.07%
  • Democratic Party for Social Credit 0.21% 0% 0.05%
  • The New Zealand National Party 41.26% 8% 39.63%
  • The Republic of New Zealand Party 0.01% 0% 0.02%
  • United Future New Zealand 2.71% 0% 2.72%
Clearly, a much smaller proportion of National Party supporters, and far greater numbers of Green Party supporters, visit the blog than there are in the general population.

Blog visitors' support for the smaller parties broadly follow the trend, though there's more supporters of NZ First in the general population than there are amongst blog visitors. And disproportionate numbers of visitors support the Direct Democracy Party, the Libertarianz and the Maori Party.

Turns out the Diva was right in predicting the demise of Jill Pettis (at least in terms of her career as an electorate MP), despite strong support from blog visitors. Of those candidates on whom we polled, the results were:


  • Jill Pettis - Labour 41.24% 53%
  • Chester Borrows - National 49.00% 31%
  • Debbie Lucas - Progressive 1.14% 2%
  • John Milnes - Greens 3.4% 10%
We're not about to attempt a mass psychoanalysis based on these results (though we're sure that won't prevent others from giving it a go). But it does provide a filter through which responses to other polls ought to be viewed, perhaps.

Speaking of which, coming soon is the results of the "DIY Referendum" poll, as well as updates on the by-election and other polls.

Comments on this post are now closed.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Of course the thing about any poll here on LawsWatch is that it is almost certainly more reflective of the views of city voters than the farmers of South Taranaki, and as a previous poster has pointed out, the city booths stayed true to Labour.

FYI I ran a total on the Whanganui city booths plus early and hospital votes and it's:

Jill 9352
Chester 7783

Anonymous said...

MMP rocks: two MP's for the price of one, and politicians having to compromise. Choice.

Anonymous said...

I love the idea that people (Lawswatch visitors) who more or less support the government can be described as "out of touch". But that's Mickey Mayor for you.

Anonymous said...

To the dickhead who counted the rural booths - what about the 3,000 rural voters who live in the Wanganui district? Count them & chester would be home.